Universitario vs Chepo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
14.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 3
CHO
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TAU
0 - 3
CHO
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CHO
3 - 0
SMI
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SFF
0 - 0
CHO
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CHO
0 - 0
AMA
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
IND
3 - 1
CHE
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHE
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 1
ARA
32%
28%
39%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
TAU
1 - 1
CHE
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 1
SMI
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |