National League North round 24

Chorley vs Curzon Ashton analysis

Chorley Curzon Ashton
52 ELO 50
-1.3% Tilt -8.4%
4005º General ELO ranking 3994º
132º Country ELO ranking 131º
ELO win probability
43%
Chorley
26.2%
Draw
30.8%
Curzon Ashton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
Chorley
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.8%
Win probability
Curzon Ashton
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chorley
-4%
+18%
Curzon Ashton

Points and table prediction

Chorley
Their league position
Curzon Ashton
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
83
18º
75
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tamworth
96
96
100%
Scunthorpe United
88
88
100%
Brackley Town
85
85
100%
Chorley
83
83
100%
Alfreton Town
80
80
100%
Boston United
75
75
100%
Curzon Ashton
75
75
100%
South Shields
74
74
100%
Spennymoor Town
74
74
100%
Chester
10º
69
69
10º
100%
Hereford
11º
69
69
11º
100%
Warrington Town
12º
64
64
12º
100%
Scarborough Athletic
13º
64
64
13º
100%
Buxton
14º
62
62
14º
100%
Peterborough Sports
15º
58
58
15º
100%
Southport
17º
56
56
16º
100%
Darlington FC
16º
56
56
17º
100%
Kings Lynn Town
18º
55
55
18º
100%
Rushall Olympic
19º
54
54
19º
100%
Farsley Celtic
20º
53
53
20º
100%
Blyth Spartans
21º
50
50
21º
100%
Banbury United
22º
38
38
22º
100%
Gloucester City
23º
36
36
23º
100%
Bishops Stortford
24º
21
21
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chorley
Curzon Ashton
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Chorley
Curzon Ashton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chorley
Chorley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Dec. 2023
BAN
Banbury United
1 - 4
Chorley
CHO
26%
26%
48%
50 43 7 0
16 Dec. 2023
SCU
Scunthorpe United
3 - 0
Chorley
CHO
46%
26%
28%
51 51 0 -1
12 Dec. 2023
CHO
Chorley
3 - 2
Buxton
BUX
50%
25%
25%
51 49 2 0
09 Dec. 2023
CHO
Chorley
2 - 0
Blyth Spartans
BLY
45%
24%
31%
50 48 2 +1
25 Nov. 2023
BOS
Boston United
2 - 2
Chorley
CHO
47%
26%
28%
50 48 2 0

Matches

Curzon Ashton
Curzon Ashton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Dec. 2023
GLO
Gloucester City
3 - 0
Curzon Ashton
CUR
29%
26%
45%
53 44 9 0
16 Dec. 2023
CUR
Curzon Ashton
2 - 0
Brackley Town
BRA
50%
27%
23%
52 50 2 +1
12 Dec. 2023
FAR
Farsley Celtic
2 - 1
Curzon Ashton
CUR
27%
27%
47%
53 44 9 -1
09 Dec. 2023
CUR
Curzon Ashton
0 - 2
Macclesfield Town
MAC
29%
24%
47%
54 57 3 -1
25 Nov. 2023
BAN
Banbury United
0 - 1
Curzon Ashton
CUR
21%
26%
54%
54 42 12 0