Choco vs Deportivo Fabril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ARN
2 - 2
CHO
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 0
ARZ
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
SOF
1 - 3
CHO
41%
25%
34%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SOM
2 - 1
CHO
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
VIV
3 - 2
CHO
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SOM
3 - 1
DEP
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 0
ALO
61%
22%
17%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
DEP
47%
24%
28%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 1
PON
68%
19%
14%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
RCV
1 - 0
DEP
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |