Choco U19 vs Real Sporting U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
58.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
9º
16º
9º
21
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 73 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 72 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 58 |
3º
|
44% | |
|
|
4º
|
21 | 55 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 51 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 42 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 41 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 40 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 34 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 34 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 32 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 31 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 29 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 28 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 21 |
16º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0.5% | 61% |
|
Possible next round
|
4% | 17.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
16.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 4
CHO
57%
20%
23%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 2
SDC
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ARO
3 - 0
CHO
54%
22%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 0
GIM
62%
20%
18%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 2
CHO
47%
22%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 0
PON
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 0
SPO
79%
13%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
VER
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 0
REA
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 5
SPO
30%
22%
48%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |