Choco U19 vs Lugo U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
25%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+319%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
3º
9º
4º
43
5º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 76 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 70 |
3º
|
76% | |
|
|
4º
|
66 | 69 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 68 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
90% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
90% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
60% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
OUR
1 - 2
CHO
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BER
1 - 0
CHO
40%
23%
38%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 1
ATL
44%
22%
34%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FER
2 - 3
CHO
28%
24%
48%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CHO
3 - 3
PON
58%
21%
21%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lugo U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 2
BER
48%
22%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 0
LUG
39%
22%
39%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 0
FER
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
LUG
22%
20%
58%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALO
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |