National League South round 10

Chippenham Town vs Dulwich Hamlet FC analysis

Chippenham Town Dulwich Hamlet FC
45 ELO 34
-1.7% Tilt -19.1%
3457º General ELO ranking 4687º
193º Country ELO ranking 298º
ELO win probability
69.2%
Chippenham Town
18.9%
Draw
11.9%
Dulwich Hamlet FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
Chippenham Town
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.9%
Win probability
Dulwich Hamlet FC
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chippenham Town
+4%
-24%
Dulwich Hamlet FC

Points and table prediction

Chippenham Town
Their league position
Dulwich Hamlet FC
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
24º
14º
48
22º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ebbsfleet United
100
103
100%
Dartford
82
85
100%
Chelmsford City
78
81
83%
Oxford City
79
79
83%
Worthing
76
76
100%
Braintree Town
73
74
70%
St. Albans City
72
73
70%
Havant & Waterlooville
70
70
37%
Tonbridge Angels
10º
67
70
0%
Eastbourne Borough
69
69
10º
60.5%
Farnborough
11º
66
67
11º
81.5%
Bath City
12º
65
65
12º
100%
Hemel Hempstead Town
13º
61
61
13º
53.5%
Chippenham Town
14º
59
60
14º
53.5%
Taunton Town
15º
58
58
15º
83%
Welling United
16º
56
57
16º
100%
Hampton & Richmond
17º
53
53
17º
76.5%
Slough Town
18º
50
51
18º
53.5%
Dulwich Hamlet FC
20º
48
49
19º
62.5%
Weymouth
21º
45
48
20º
55.5%
Dover Athletic
19º
48
48
21º
55.5%
Concord Rangers
22º
45
45
22º
72.5%
Cheshunt
23º
43
43
23º
79.5%
Hungerford Town
24º
40
40
24º
94.5%
Expected probabilities
Chippenham Town
Dulwich Hamlet FC
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Chippenham Town
Dulwich Hamlet FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chippenham Town
Chippenham Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2022
CHI
Chippenham Town
3 - 0
Sholing
SHO
71%
18%
11%
45 31 14 0
13 Sep. 2022
HAM
Hampton & Richmond
1 - 0
Chippenham Town
CHI
32%
28%
41%
46 38 8 -1
06 Sep. 2022
CHI
Chippenham Town
1 - 0
Oxford City
OXF
41%
25%
34%
45 46 1 +1
03 Sep. 2022
CHI
Chippenham Town
2 - 1
Dartford
DAR
30%
25%
45%
44 49 5 +1
29 Aug. 2022
TAU
Taunton Town
3 - 1
Chippenham Town
CHI
54%
24%
22%
45 45 0 -1

Matches

Dulwich Hamlet FC
Dulwich Hamlet FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2022
DUL
Dulwich Hamlet FC
2 - 1
Margate
MAR
46%
25%
30%
33 35 2 0
13 Sep. 2022
DUL
Dulwich Hamlet FC
1 - 3
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
55%
21%
23%
35 32 3 -2
03 Sep. 2022
TON
Tonbridge Angels
3 - 1
Dulwich Hamlet FC
DUL
53%
24%
23%
36 39 3 -1
29 Aug. 2022
DUL
Dulwich Hamlet FC
1 - 2
Welling United
WEL
51%
22%
27%
37 36 1 -1
27 Aug. 2022
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
2 - 1
Dulwich Hamlet FC
DUL
57%
22%
21%
38 38 0 -1