East Asian Cup 4ta Ronda round 1

China vs South Korea analysis

China South Korea
84 ELO 89
2.4% Tilt -8.3%
14289º General ELO ranking 13886º
32º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
23.6%
China
23%
Draw
53.5%
South Korea

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
China
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
53.5%
Win probability
South Korea
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
China
-18%
-1%
South Korea

ELO progression

China
South Korea
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

China
China
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2008
IRQ
Iraq
1 - 1
China
CHN
45%
27%
28%
84 83 1 0
27 Jan. 2008
CHN
China
2 - 1
Syria
SYR
70%
18%
12%
84 72 12 0
20 Jan. 2008
CHN
China
0 - 0
Lebanon
LBN
77%
15%
8%
84 63 21 0
10 Jan. 2008
UAE
UAE
0 - 0
China
CHN
39%
27%
34%
84 77 7 0
28 Oct. 2007
MMR
Myanmar
0 - 4
China
CHN
14%
24%
62%
84 52 32 0

Matches

South Korea
South Korea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2008
KOR
South Korea
4 - 0
Turkmenistan
TKM
86%
11%
3%
89 60 29 0
30 Jan. 2008
KOR
South Korea
0 - 1
Chile
CHI
47%
28%
25%
89 88 1 0
28 Jul. 2007
KOR
South Korea
0 - 0
Japan
JPN
35%
25%
40%
89 90 1 0
25 Jul. 2007
IRQ
Iraq
0 - 0
South Korea
KOR
20%
22%
58%
89 83 6 0
22 Jul. 2007
IRN
Iran
0 - 0
South Korea
KOR
48%
23%
29%
89 89 0 0