China vs Latvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
CHN
0 - 4
URU
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
CHN
2 - 1
SYR
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
CHN
1 - 1
PAR
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
CHN
0 - 2
IRN
39%
27%
35%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
CHN
1 - 1
BHR
61%
22%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Latvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
LVA
1 - 1
GEO
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
GRC
1 - 0
LVA
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
MLT
0 - 2
LVA
23%
25%
52%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
LVA
0 - 3
CRO
16%
24%
60%
|
75 | 93 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
CZE
4 - 1
LVA
81%
13%
5%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |