China vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
4.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1982 |
URU
2 - 0
CHN
88%
8%
4%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1982 |
KOR
1 - 1
CHN
89%
7%
4%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1982 |
CHN
0 - 0
URU
54%
23%
22%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1982 |
IND
1 - 1
CHN
22%
23%
55%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1981 |
JPN
0 - 0
CHN
42%
24%
35%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1980 |
HKG
1 - 0
AUS
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1980 |
CHN
7 - 0
HKG
88%
8%
4%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1980 |
HKG
0 - 2
JPN
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1980 |
HKG
1 - 3
JPN
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 1977 |
CHN
1 - 2
HKG
88%
8%
4%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | +2 |