East Asian Cup Segunda ronda round 3

Chinese Taipei vs Guam analysis

Chinese Taipei Guam
36 ELO 19
6.3% Tilt 16.8%
7356º General ELO ranking 12263º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
79.6%
Chinese Taipei
13.2%
Draw
7.2%
Guam

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
Chinese Taipei
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.2%
Win probability
Guam
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chinese Taipei
-4%
-28%
Guam

ELO progression

Chinese Taipei
Guam
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chinese Taipei
Chinese Taipei
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2012
TWN
Chinese Taipei
1 - 6
Korea DPR
PRK
12%
21%
68%
36 75 39 0
29 Feb. 2012
HKG
Hong Kong
5 - 1
Chinese Taipei
TWN
76%
14%
10%
37 51 14 -1
18 Jul. 2011
SGP
Singapore
3 - 2
Chinese Taipei
TWN
79%
14%
8%
37 64 27 0
03 Jul. 2011
TWN
Chinese Taipei
3 - 2
Malaysia
MAS
19%
22%
58%
36 60 24 +1
29 Jun. 2011
MAS
Malaysia
2 - 1
Chinese Taipei
TWN
72%
17%
10%
36 60 24 0

Matches

Guam
Guam
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2012
PRK
Korea DPR
5 - 0
Guam
GUM
87%
10%
3%
19 75 56 0
01 Dec. 2012
GUM
Guam
1 - 2
Hong Kong
HKG
5%
14%
82%
20 50 30 -1
22 Jul. 2012
GUM
Guam
3 - 0
Macao
MAC
31%
22%
47%
18 25 7 +2
18 Jul. 2012
MNP
Northern Mariana Islands
1 - 3
Guam
GUM
1%
6%
93%
18 5 13 0
12 Jun. 2012
PHL
Philippines
3 - 0
Guam
GUM
79%
14%
7%
18 50 32 0