Chimbarongo vs Municipal Salamanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
6º
4º
26
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 54 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 50 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 47 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 46 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 42 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 33 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 32 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 26 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 26 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 22 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 21 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 20 |
14º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chimbarongo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
CHG
0 - 1
CHI
42%
25%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
SCF
4 - 0
CHI
35%
23%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
4 - 2
SCF
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 1
IBE
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MPA
0 - 2
CHI
17%
19%
64%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal Salamanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
BDS
2 - 1
ACC
28%
26%
46%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BDS
2 - 0
DUC
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DUC
1 - 1
BDS
52%
23%
26%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 3
BDS
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BDS
2 - 0
CIU
82%
12%
7%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | +1 |