Chieti vs FC Fossombrone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
9º
5º
24
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 69 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 60 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 58 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 53 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 52 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 52 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 48 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 47 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 43 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 42 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 40 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 39 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 39 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 37 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 37 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 35 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 28 |
18º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
40.5% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 75% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AVE
0 - 3
CHI
52%
27%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAT
0 - 0
CHI
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 2
CAM
16%
23%
61%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RMS
3 - 1
CHI
36%
29%
35%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
CHI
39%
29%
32%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Fossombrone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BFM
4 - 1
TER
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VIS
4 - 1
BFM
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SSD
1 - 0
BFM
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BFM
0 - 0
SOR
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RCF
0 - 1
BFM
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |