MLS round 33

Chicago Fire vs Orlando City analysis

Chicago Fire Orlando City
73 ELO 65
10% Tilt 16.6%
456º General ELO ranking 261º
25º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
57.6%
Chicago Fire
22%
Draw
20.4%
Orlando City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
Chicago Fire
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.4%
Win probability
Orlando City
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chicago Fire
-11%
+7%
Orlando City

ELO progression

Chicago Fire
Orlando City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2018
BYM
Bayern München
4 - 0
Chicago Fire
CFS
86%
10%
4%
73 94 21 0
24 Aug. 2018
CFS
Chicago Fire
1 - 1
Columbus Crew
COC
46%
26%
28%
73 75 2 0
19 Aug. 2018
MON
CF Montréal
2 - 1
Chicago Fire
CFS
45%
25%
31%
73 73 0 0
12 Aug. 2018
CFS
Chicago Fire
0 - 1
New York RB
RBN
29%
25%
46%
73 82 9 0
09 Aug. 2018
PHU
Philadelphia Union
3 - 0
Chicago Fire
CFS
48%
23%
29%
75 76 1 -2

Matches

Orlando City
Orlando City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2018
KCW
Sporting Kansas City
1 - 0
Orlando City
ORL
70%
18%
12%
66 82 16 0
02 Sep. 2018
ORL
Orlando City
2 - 2
Philadelphia Union
PHU
29%
26%
45%
66 78 12 0
25 Aug. 2018
ORL
Orlando City
1 - 2
Atlanta United
AFC
30%
25%
45%
66 82 16 0
13 Aug. 2018
DCU
DC United
3 - 2
Orlando City
ORL
48%
25%
28%
67 70 3 -1
05 Aug. 2018
ORL
Orlando City
3 - 3
New England Revolution
NER
31%
24%
45%
67 75 8 0