Chicago Fire vs New York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
24%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
PHU
2 - 4
CFS
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
CFS
1 - 2
RBN
28%
26%
47%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
DCU
4 - 0
CFS
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CFS
3 - 1
NER
35%
26%
40%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 2
CFS
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
NYC
1 - 0
MON
54%
22%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NYC
1 - 3
NER
49%
22%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ORL
2 - 1
NYC
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
DCU
2 - 1
NYC
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VAN
1 - 2
NYC
61%
21%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |