Chicago Fire vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
PHU
2 - 0
CFS
56%
23%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
CFS
2 - 2
COC
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
CFS
1 - 2
CIN
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
KCW
1 - 0
CFS
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
CFS
5 - 1
AFC
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
NEC
0 - 0
CAZ
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2019 |
CAZ
4 - 0
NEC
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MOR
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
CAZ
3 - 5
CAÑ
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
CAZ
0 - 0
AUR
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |