Chicago FC United vs St. Louis Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago FC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
CDL
1 - 7
CFC
7%
15%
78%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
CFC
8 - 0
CDL
89%
9%
2%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
CFC
5 - 1
WIC
89%
9%
2%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 2
KCF
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
STL
2 - 2
CFC
14%
20%
66%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
St. Louis Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
ASC
1 - 4
STL
14%
17%
69%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
STL
4 - 1
ASC
82%
12%
7%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
CDL
2 - 3
STL
18%
19%
64%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
CCS
1 - 1
STL
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
STL
2 - 2
CFC
14%
20%
66%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +1 |