Chiatura vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+377%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiatura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
SKU
0 - 3
CHI
30%
26%
45%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
ZOO
1 - 2
CHI
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
SOK
2 - 4
CHI
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
LOK
2 - 2
CHI
36%
26%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
SAM
57%
21%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 1
SAM
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
KOL
1 - 0
SAM
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 0
MEA
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 2
GUR
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
ADE
0 - 3
SAM
35%
25%
41%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |