Chester vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
37%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
GRI
1 - 2
CHE
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 2
CHE
53%
26%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
CHE
0 - 2
BRE
50%
27%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
BCF
0 - 2
CHE
41%
29%
31%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
CHE
0 - 1
MOR
25%
26%
48%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
STF
0 - 2
POS
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
STF
3 - 4
ROC
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
WYC
1 - 1
STF
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
STF
2 - 0
STA
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
STO
1 - 1
STF
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |