Chester vs Nuneaton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 2
CHE
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
CHE
4 - 1
ASH
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CHE
3 - 2
ALF
57%
21%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
DUN
4 - 3
CHE
22%
22%
56%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
CHE
3 - 0
HER
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Nuneaton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
NUN
0 - 2
LEA
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
ALT
4 - 0
NUN
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
STO
2 - 2
NUN
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
NUN
0 - 6
BRA
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
NUN
2 - 2
YOR
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |