Chester vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
CHE
3 - 1
POS
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
ROC
2 - 2
CHE
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
CHE
0 - 0
NOR
38%
26%
37%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
CHE
2 - 1
FOL
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
STF
3 - 1
CHE
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
HUR
2 - 1
NTT
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
NTT
2 - 0
SOU
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2005 |
WEY
0 - 2
NTT
27%
24%
49%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
BOU
1 - 1
NTT
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
NTT
1 - 1
WEY
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |