Chertanovo II vs Dnepr Smolensk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
22.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chertanovo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
FKL
2 - 0
CHE
64%
21%
16%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 2
TOR
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
VEL
2 - 1
CHE
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 4
TEK
17%
23%
60%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
FCD
1 - 1
CHE
69%
18%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
DNE
1 - 0
LUK
34%
27%
39%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
ZNA
1 - 0
DNE
13%
20%
67%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
DNE
2 - 2
KOL
73%
16%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
DNE
1 - 2
KAL
46%
26%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
PSK
2 - 0
DNE
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |