Cherno More Varna vs OFC Sliven 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 0
CVA
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CVA
2 - 0
LOK
60%
25%
15%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
LOV
1 - 0
CVA
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
STU
2 - 2
CVA
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
CVA
1 - 0
LSO
41%
28%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
OFC Sliven 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
SLI
0 - 0
LSO
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2008 |
CHB
1 - 1
SLI
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
SLI
3 - 1
BOT
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2008 |
VIH
0 - 2
SLI
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
SLI
2 - 1
OFK
44%
29%
28%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |