National 3 Normandie round 22

Cherbourg vs Mont-Gaillard analysis

Cherbourg Mont-Gaillard
24 ELO 17
-10.1% Tilt -5.1%
22619º General ELO ranking 49554º
630º Country ELO ranking 1251º
ELO win probability
72%
Cherbourg
16.2%
Draw
11.8%
Mont-Gaillard

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
Cherbourg
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.8%
Win probability
Mont-Gaillard
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Cherbourg
Their league position
Mont-Gaillard
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
10º
16
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AF Virois
59
59
100%
Dieppe
42
42
100%
Cherbourg
41
41
100%
AG Caennaise
40
40
0%
Le Havre II
40
40
34%
Alençon
39
39
66%
QRM II
38
39
66%
Oissel
37
37
100%
Saint-Lô Manche
36
36
100%
Dives
10º
33
34
10º
100%
Avranches II
11º
32
32
11º
100%
Gonfreville
12º
31
31
12º
100%
Grand-Quevilly
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Mont-Gaillard
14º
16
16
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cherbourg
Mont-Gaillard
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Cherbourg
Mont-Gaillard
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cherbourg
Cherbourg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2023
AFV
AF Virois
3 - 2
Cherbourg
CHE
75%
15%
10%
24 37 13 0
01 Apr. 2023
CHE
Cherbourg
1 - 0
Dieppe
DIE
41%
25%
34%
23 27 4 +1
25 Mar. 2023
AVR
Avranches II
1 - 1
Cherbourg
CHE
32%
24%
44%
23 19 4 0
18 Mar. 2023
CHE
Cherbourg
1 - 0
Dives
DIV
51%
22%
27%
23 22 1 0
04 Mar. 2023
OIS
Oissel
0 - 2
Cherbourg
CHE
71%
18%
11%
21 35 14 +2

Matches

Mont-Gaillard
Mont-Gaillard
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2023
MGA
Mont-Gaillard
1 - 0
Alençon
ALE
13%
18%
69%
15 30 15 0
01 Apr. 2023
GRQ
Grand-Quevilly
2 - 0
Mont-Gaillard
MGA
48%
21%
31%
16 15 1 -1
25 Mar. 2023
MGA
Mont-Gaillard
1 - 1
Saint-Lô Manche
SAI
28%
21%
51%
16 20 4 0
19 Mar. 2023
LEH
Le Havre II
1 - 0
Mont-Gaillard
MGA
79%
13%
8%
16 28 12 0
04 Mar. 2023
MGA
Mont-Gaillard
2 - 2
QRM II
QUE
29%
23%
48%
15 21 6 +1