Cheonan vs Incheon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
77.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheonan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
CHE
4 - 1
KOR
40%
24%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
ICH
8%
14%
79%
|
10 | 58 | 48 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 2
SMC
47%
23%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
ULS
1 - 1
INC
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
POH
0 - 2
INC
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
INC
1 - 2
CDR
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
FCS
1 - 0
INC
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
INC
1 - 1
SUW
40%
28%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |