Chennaiyin vs Goa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
9º
10º
22
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 47 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 43 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 41 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 40 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 34 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 33 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 31 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 30 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 29 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 19 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 14 |
13º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 22% |
|
Next round
|
1.5% | 21.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
8.5% | 50.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chennaiyin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 3
CHE
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
HYD
0 - 0
CHE
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 1
MOH
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DEL
2 - 3
CHE
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
DEL
1 - 0
CHE
65%
18%
17%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Goa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GOA
1 - 2
MUM
43%
24%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
GOA
3 - 3
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 3
GOA
34%
25%
42%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MOH
1 - 1
GOA
22%
23%
55%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
GOA
1 - 2
JAM
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |