Chengdu Blades vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
40.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chengdu Blades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 0
CHE
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 0
SHA
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GUI
2 - 0
CHE
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
BEI
2 - 0
CHE
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
GUI
3 - 0
CHE
58%
24%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
ULS
1 - 0
BEI
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
BEI
1 - 1
JIA
75%
18%
7%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SHE
0 - 0
BEI
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
BEI
3 - 1
CHO
69%
21%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
NAG
0 - 0
BEI
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |