Chemnitzer vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 2
ERZ
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
WER
3 - 2
CHE
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
3 - 1
HAL
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MAI
0 - 0
CHE
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
ERF
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
KÖL
2 - 1
WER
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
HAL
1 - 1
KÖL
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
KÖL
3 - 1
MAI
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ERF
0 - 2
KÖL
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
KÖL
0 - 3
WUR
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |