DDR Oberliga Jor. 18

Chemnitzer vs Union Berlin analysis

Chemnitzer Union Berlin
80 ELO 75
6.6% Tilt -20.4%
4040º General ELO ranking 96º
122º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
65.9%
Chemnitzer
19.6%
Draw
14.5%
Union Berlin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
Chemnitzer
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.5%
Win probability
Union Berlin
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chemnitzer
-16%
-4%
Union Berlin

ELO progression

Chemnitzer
Union Berlin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chemnitzer
Chemnitzer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 1969
CZJ
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
2 - 0
Chemnitzer
CHE
67%
21%
13%
81 86 5 0
01 Mar. 1969
CHE
Chemnitzer
0 - 0
Hallescher FC
HAL
59%
22%
19%
81 78 3 0
22 Feb. 1969
BWA
BSG Wismut Aue
1 - 2
Chemnitzer
CHE
47%
28%
25%
80 81 1 +1
15 Feb. 1969
CHE
Chemnitzer
3 - 0
Magdeburg
MAG
52%
23%
25%
80 81 1 0
09 Nov. 1968
CHE
Chemnitzer
1 - 0
Chemie Leipzig
CHL
55%
23%
22%
80 83 3 0

Matches

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 1969
FCU
Union Berlin
2 - 0
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
ERF
49%
25%
26%
74 77 3 0
01 Mar. 1969
BSG
BSG Stahl Riesa
1 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
46%
27%
26%
75 67 8 -1
22 Feb. 1969
FCU
Union Berlin
2 - 3
Zwickau
ZWI
47%
26%
27%
75 80 5 0
15 Feb. 1969
ROS
Hansa Rostock
1 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
69%
20%
11%
75 85 10 0
09 Nov. 1968
LOK
Lokomotive Leipzig
2 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
58%
22%
20%
76 79 3 -1
X