Regionalliga Nordost round 1

Chemie Leipzig vs SV Babelsberg 03 analysis

Chemie Leipzig SV Babelsberg 03
52 ELO 53
-14.6% Tilt -6%
4101º General ELO ranking 3791º
126º Country ELO ranking 114º
ELO win probability
40.6%
Chemie Leipzig
27.4%
Draw
32%
SV Babelsberg 03

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
Chemie Leipzig
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32%
Win probability
SV Babelsberg 03
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chemie Leipzig
-34%
-12%
SV Babelsberg 03

Points and table prediction

Chemie Leipzig
Their league position
SV Babelsberg 03
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
15º
15º
22
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lokomotive Leipzig
43
71
71.5%
Hallescher FC
35
66
44%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
31
62
35.5%
Zwickau
32
56
14.5%
Altglienicke
24
55
12%
BFC Dynamo
26
54
13.5%
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
30
54
11%
Hertha BSC II
28
50
14.5%
Viktoria Berlin
13º
21
49
9.5%
Greifswalder
10º
22
47
10º
8.5%
Chemnitzer
23
46
11º
18%
SV Babelsberg 03
11º
22
44
12º
16.5%
Meuselwitz
12º
22
41
13º
15.5%
Hertha Zehlendorf
15º
16
35
14º
17%
Chemie Leipzig
14º
19
35
15º
21.5%
VFC Plauen
16º
15
30
16º
25%
Eilenburg
17º
14
26
17º
27.5%
Luckenwalde
18º
12
24
18º
49.5%
Expected probabilities
Chemie Leipzig
SV Babelsberg 03
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
97.5% 100%
Relegation
2.5% 0%

ELO progression

Chemie Leipzig
SV Babelsberg 03
BFC Dynamo
Hertha Zehlendorf
Luckenwalde
Meuselwitz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chemie Leipzig
Chemie Leipzig
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2024
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
0 - 0
Chemie Leipzig
CHL
46%
24%
30%
52 53 1 0
13 Jul. 2024
EIN
Eintracht Bamberg
1 - 4
Chemie Leipzig
CHL
28%
23%
49%
53 43 10 -1
06 Jul. 2024
CHL
Chemie Leipzig
0 - 4
Union Berlin
FCU
7%
19%
75%
53 88 35 0
30 Jun. 2024
AUB
Aubstadt
1 - 1
Chemie Leipzig
CHL
41%
25%
35%
53 51 2 0
19 May. 2024
LUC
Luckenwalde
1 - 3
Chemie Leipzig
CHL
34%
26%
40%
52 46 6 +1

Matches

SV Babelsberg 03
SV Babelsberg 03
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jul. 2024
BAB
SV Babelsberg 03
0 - 1
Hertha BSC
HER
6%
12%
82%
53 81 28 0
06 Jul. 2024
BAB
SV Babelsberg 03
3 - 2
Tennis Borussia
TEN
76%
16%
8%
53 26 27 0
29 Jun. 2024
BAB
SV Babelsberg 03
1 - 4
Berliner AK 07
BAK
72%
18%
10%
53 34 19 0
23 Jun. 2024
FOB
Fortuna Babelsberg
0 - 6
SV Babelsberg 03
BAB
11%
17%
72%
53 10 43 0
19 May. 2024
BAB
SV Babelsberg 03
0 - 0
Altglienicke
ALT
27%
26%
47%
53 57 4 0