Cheltenham Town vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2006 |
GRI
1 - 0
CHE
48%
27%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
CHE
1 - 1
DAR
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
GUL
1 - 2
CHE
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CHE
3 - 3
STO
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
STF
2 - 0
CHE
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 1
ROC
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
CUM
2 - 1
NOT
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 1
MAC
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 1
NOT
49%
25%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 1
LEY
33%
27%
41%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |