Europa League Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Chelsea vs Slavia Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LIV
2 - 0
CHL
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
SLP
0 - 1
CHL
34%
26%
41%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
CHL
2 - 0
WHU
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
CHL
3 - 0
BHA
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
CHL
12%
20%
68%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Slavia Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SLP
1 - 1
SPA
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
SLP
0 - 1
CHL
34%
26%
41%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
DUK
1 - 5
SLP
10%
19%
71%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
SLP
5 - 0
KAR
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SLP
1 - 1
SLI
79%
15%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |