Chelsea vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
LIV
2 - 0
CHL
81%
13%
6%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
CHL
4 - 3
BOL
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
DER
1 - 0
CHL
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
CHL
1 - 3
WBA
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
BIR
1 - 1
CHL
67%
18%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
NOR
2 - 2
LEE
45%
26%
30%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
MID
2 - 0
NOR
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
NOR
1 - 4
LIV
29%
29%
43%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1978 |
CHE
0 - 2
NOR
13%
18%
69%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
NOR
3 - 0
DER
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |