Chelsea vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
STO
1 - 1
CHL
15%
22%
63%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CHL
2 - 0
MAC
68%
19%
13%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
CHL
0 - 0
FCK
78%
15%
8%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2011 |
BPO
1 - 3
CHL
13%
21%
67%
|
94 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
CHL
2 - 1
MUD
45%
25%
30%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
WHU
2 - 4
MUD
16%
23%
61%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
MUD
1 - 0
BOL
81%
13%
6%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
MUD
2 - 1
MAR
67%
20%
14%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MUD
2 - 0
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LIV
3 - 1
MUD
26%
26%
48%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |