Chelsea vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
54.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
CHL
2 - 0
LIL
70%
19%
11%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CRY
0 - 1
CHL
14%
21%
65%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CHL
2 - 1
PAL
57%
24%
19%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
ALH
0 - 1
CHL
9%
17%
74%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CHL
2 - 1
PLY
86%
11%
3%
|
93 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
LIV
6 - 0
LEE
79%
15%
7%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
LIV
3 - 1
NOR
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
INT
0 - 2
LIV
34%
23%
43%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BUR
0 - 1
LIV
5%
13%
82%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 0
LEI
66%
19%
14%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |