Chelsea vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1975 |
CHL
1 - 1
SHE
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
TOT
2 - 0
CHL
61%
22%
18%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
CHL
0 - 1
MAC
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
STO
3 - 0
CHL
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
CHL
0 - 0
IPS
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
EVE
2 - 3
SHE
55%
25%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
NEW
0 - 1
EVE
50%
26%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1975 |
LUT
2 - 1
EVE
33%
29%
39%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1975 |
EVE
1 - 1
BUR
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
EVE
1 - 0
COV
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |