Chelsea vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1935 |
HUR
3 - 0
CHL
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1935 |
CHL
3 - 0
EVE
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1935 |
GRI
3 - 1
CHL
62%
20%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1935 |
CHL
0 - 0
PNE
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1935 |
TOT
1 - 3
CHL
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
BUR
3 - 2
BIR
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1935 |
BIR
1 - 3
LIV
43%
24%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1935 |
BIR
3 - 0
ARS
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1935 |
BIR
4 - 2
MID
44%
24%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1935 |
BBU
3 - 1
BIR
65%
19%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |