Chelsea vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
NOR
0 - 0
CHL
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1977 |
CHL
1 - 0
NTT
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
CHL
1 - 0
BRI
59%
24%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
68%
19%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
CHL
0 - 0
MID
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
ASV
0 - 1
MID
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1977 |
LIV
1 - 2
ASV
68%
20%
13%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
GÓR
1 - 1
ASV
34%
27%
39%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
ASV
2 - 1
MUD
52%
23%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
WHU
2 - 2
ASV
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |