FA Cup 1/256
Global 3-5
Chelmsford City vs Whitby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WES
0 - 3
CHM
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
CHM
3 - 0
BRO
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BRO
2 - 2
CHM
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CHM
0 - 2
STA
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
CHM
2 - 1
WAR
72%
17%
10%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Whitby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RAD
3 - 2
WHI
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
WHI
1 - 0
MOR
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
WHI
4 - 2
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UNM
1 - 1
WHI
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
WHI
2 - 1
PRE
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |