Chelmsford City vs Staines Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
WHI
0 - 2
CHM
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
CHM
2 - 3
SUT
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
THU
0 - 2
CHM
15%
22%
63%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
CHM
1 - 0
THU
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 3
CHM
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Staines Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 0
STA
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
WOK
0 - 1
STA
70%
20%
10%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
STA
1 - 4
HAM
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
HAM
1 - 2
STA
60%
22%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
STA
0 - 3
DOV
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -2 |