III Liga Grupo 4 round 10

Chełmianka Chełm vs KSZO Ostrowiec analysis

Chełmianka Chełm KSZO Ostrowiec
48 ELO 43
-4.3% Tilt 4.6%
5148º General ELO ranking 5328º
95º Country ELO ranking 102º
ELO win probability
52.4%
Chełmianka Chełm
24.1%
Draw
23.5%
KSZO Ostrowiec

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
Chełmianka Chełm
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.5%
Win probability
KSZO Ostrowiec
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chełmianka Chełm
+8%
+21%
KSZO Ostrowiec

ELO progression

Chełmianka Chełm
KSZO Ostrowiec
Avia Świdnik
Czarni Połaniec
Wisłoka Dębica
Lewart
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chełmianka Chełm
Chełmianka Chełm
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2024
SIA
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 - 1
Chełmianka Chełm
CHE
63%
21%
17%
47 56 9 0
14 Sep. 2024
CHE
Chełmianka Chełm
3 - 0
Wiązownica
KSW
57%
22%
21%
46 40 6 +1
07 Sep. 2024
LEW
Lewart
1 - 4
Chełmianka Chełm
CHE
17%
22%
62%
46 23 23 0
31 Aug. 2024
CHE
Chełmianka Chełm
3 - 1
Czarni Połaniec
CPO
44%
24%
32%
45 43 2 +1
24 Aug. 2024
WIS
Wisła Kraków II
0 - 1
Chełmianka Chełm
CHE
25%
23%
52%
44 30 14 +1

Matches

KSZO Ostrowiec
KSZO Ostrowiec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2024
KSZ
KSZO Ostrowiec
1 - 2
Korona Kielce II
MSK
61%
21%
18%
45 38 7 0
14 Sep. 2024
SAN
Sandecja Nowy Sacz
1 - 0
KSZO Ostrowiec
KSZ
73%
18%
9%
45 61 16 0
07 Sep. 2024
KSZ
KSZO Ostrowiec
1 - 1
Swidniczanka Swidnik
SWS
63%
20%
17%
45 36 9 0
31 Aug. 2024
POD
Podhale Nowy Targ
4 - 1
KSZO Ostrowiec
KSZ
41%
26%
33%
47 45 2 -2
24 Aug. 2024
SIA
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 - 2
KSZO Ostrowiec
KSZ
70%
19%
11%
46 56 10 +1