Europa League 1/32
Global 4-4
Chaves vs FC Universitatea Craiova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
CHA
6 - 1
FAR
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
FCU
3 - 2
CHA
79%
13%
9%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
ESP
2 - 1
CHA
36%
29%
35%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
CHA
4 - 0
RIO
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
PEN
0 - 0
CHA
32%
30%
38%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1987 |
FCM
0 - 0
FCU
35%
30%
35%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
FCU
5 - 1
ASA
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
FCU
3 - 2
CHA
79%
13%
9%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
VIC
0 - 1
FCU
53%
22%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
FCU
1 - 0
ARG
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |