Chauvigny vs Orléans II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
8º
8º
6
8º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
12 | 57 |
1º
|
49.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 56 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 44 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 41 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 38 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 38 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 37 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
|
4º
|
12 | 32 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 31 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 30 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 28 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 28 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 26 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 25 |
14º
|
25% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
54% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
32% | 58% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chauvigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CSL
0 - 1
CHA
53%
23%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 1
CHA
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PAN
3 - 0
CHA
53%
21%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 0
CHA
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
CHA
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Orléans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ORL
0 - 2
SBM
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ORL
2 - 2
ESA
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 1
ORL
47%
23%
31%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 1
SML
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
IVR
0 - 1
ORL
47%
25%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |