Chauray vs Challans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
14º
14º
19
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 43 |
1º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 43 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
|
2º
|
19 | 40 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 39 |
4º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 38 |
5º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 37 |
6º
|
5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 36 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 34 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 34 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 34 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 32 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 30 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 27 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
73.5% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FON
1 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
SPG
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ESO
1 - 0
CHA
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
LAT
14%
20%
66%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +3 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
CHA
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
PAN
55%
21%
25%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NAN
0 - 3
CHA
57%
24%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
ASC
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 1
FON
33%
28%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
CHA
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |