Châteauneuf-sur-Loire vs Avoine OCC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
45.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
12º
10º
7
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 54 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 51 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 48 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 47 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 36 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 36 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 32 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 29 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 29 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
|
14º
|
7 | 28 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 27 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 26 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 23 |
14º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
41.5% | 36.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
43.5% | 52% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Châteauneuf-sur-Loire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
VSF
0 - 2
CSL
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CSL
1 - 0
TOU
37%
23%
40%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CSL
2 - 4
BLO
9%
16%
76%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 0
CSL
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CSL
2 - 1
VIE
30%
24%
47%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Avoine OCC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
AVO
1 - 1
CHA
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SBM
1 - 1
AVO
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AVO
1 - 1
MON
42%
27%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ROM
3 - 1
AVO
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AVO
0 - 0
CHA
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |