Charlton Athletic vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1989 |
NTT
4 - 0
CHA
74%
18%
9%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1989 |
CHA
3 - 0
DER
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1989 |
CHA
1 - 0
WIM
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1989 |
LUT
5 - 2
CHA
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1989 |
QPR
1 - 0
CHA
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1989 |
EVE
1 - 0
DER
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
ARS
1 - 2
DER
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1989 |
CHA
3 - 0
DER
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1989 |
DER
2 - 1
ASV
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1989 |
LUT
3 - 0
DER
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |