Charlton Athletic vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1938 |
BPO
0 - 0
CHA
56%
21%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1938 |
CHA
1 - 1
BRE
57%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1938 |
OPA
0 - 2
CHA
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1938 |
CHA
2 - 1
HUR
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
MUD
0 - 2
CHA
49%
23%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1938 |
DER
2 - 0
PNE
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1938 |
CHL
0 - 2
DER
51%
23%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1938 |
DER
5 - 1
MUD
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1938 |
BIR
3 - 0
DER
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
BRE
1 - 3
DER
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |