Charlotte Independence vs Appalachian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charlotte Independence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
RIC
1 - 2
CHA
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 3
CHA
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
RIC
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
CHA
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
5 - 1
CAR
70%
18%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Appalachian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 2
CAR
31%
22%
47%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
LSA
0 - 3
AFC
17%
19%
64%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
GSS
1 - 5
AFC
29%
22%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
AFC
3 - 1
NAL
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
AFC
4 - 2
LSA
70%
17%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |