Chapelton Maroons vs Humble Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
5º
11º
9º
10
6º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 79 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 78 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 71 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 64 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 63 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 59 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 57 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 53 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 48 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 37 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 37 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 36 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 28 |
14º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
7% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 69% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 30.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapelton Maroons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MOL
4 - 0
CMF
57%
21%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
CMF
0 - 1
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 2
CMF
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FSC
4 - 4
CMF
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
CMF
1 - 7
DFC
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 1
HAR
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VER
1 - 1
LIO
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 1
CAV
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LIO
0 - 0
TRI
29%
26%
44%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
LIO
48%
29%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |