Chapelton Maroons vs Humble Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
5º
12º
9º
8
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
15 | 73 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 73 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 71 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 66 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 64 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 61 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 61 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 55 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 45 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 44 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
8 | 43 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 36 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 35 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 26 |
14º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
5% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 12.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapelton Maroons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MOL
4 - 0
CMF
57%
21%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
CMF
0 - 1
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 2
CMF
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FSC
4 - 4
CMF
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
CMF
1 - 7
DFC
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 1
HAR
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VER
1 - 1
LIO
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 1
CAV
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LIO
0 - 0
TRI
29%
26%
44%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
LIO
48%
29%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |