Chapecoense vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
TUP
1 - 0
CHA
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAD
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
OES
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHA
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
DUQ
0 - 1
CHA
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 3
MAC
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DUQ
3 - 2
SAN
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAX
32%
29%
40%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 0
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
OES
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |