Chapecoense vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
IMB
2 - 2
CHA
23%
23%
54%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 2
CRI
43%
25%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 2
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BOA
0 - 0
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 1
BOA
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MET
2 - 0
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
MET
35%
25%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
MET
1 - 1
FFL
15%
21%
63%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MET
2 - 3
OPE
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
OPE
1 - 0
MET
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |